Pages

Monday 28 January 2013

Dubai Desert Classic Betting Tips

It's the final leg of the desert swing- and that means the European Tour is off to the Dubai Desert Classic. This is a tournament that used to attract a stellar field, but recently seems to have been overtaken by the Abu Dhabi Championship and therefore this is probably the weakest field of the swing.

Lee Westwood is set to make his season début and has done pretty well here in the past, but it's Sergio Garcia after a fine performance last week who heads the betting at 6/1. This is a price that's just a bit too short for my liking and I also think I'm going to leave Westwood alone this week having recently changed coaches and not having the match sharpness a few others in the field will have this week.

I also really fancied Henrik Stenson before the prices were released- he has looked liked getting close to form lately and likes it here- but at around 14/1 I don't think his form justifies that price.

This week I have decided to take a more scientific (more than normal anyway!) approach and have done some research into the stats of players that have done well here in the past, and have found that it's really important to hit lots of greens here to be successful. Even players that have not putted so great have been up there in previous years. Driving accuracy also doesn't look so important here, however we need someone who can get it a fair way off the tee.

My first pick of the week is Paul Casey. He has let me down a couple of times so far this season, but has actually been hitting it pretty well and has been hitting plenty of greens only to be let down by his putting. Combine the fact that he has played a good deal of golf over the last few weeks and therefore should be pretty warm with the fact that he has had some good performances here in previous years I think his price should be slightly lower than the 25/1 with 6 places each way available at Stan James.

Next on the list is Thongchai Jaidee who has been playing some sublime golf of late but has also been slightly let down by a cold putter. With a 3rd place here in 2010 and top 10 finishes in his last 3 outings he cannot be far away from adding his 6th European Tour win to his tally. He has been hitting plenty of GIR so far this year and is available at 30/1 with Bet365 or again at 25/1 for 6 places with Stan James. Compare his recent form to that of those above him in the betting and this is another good value opportunity.

After a win last week and top-20 performances the last 3 times he teed it up here in Dubai Chris Wood is going to be brimming with confidence in his game. Many people feel that he was long overdue his maiden win, and I see no reason why he won't be wanting to add to that tally as soon as possible. Could he be the Branden Grace of 2013?! He's available at a price of 33/1 across the board and I feel he is well worth a punt again this week.

I am also going to add Danny Willet to the roster, a player that could potentially have a very good season. He has had some decent results of late but has been fairly under the radar. He is 17th in the GIR stats so far this season and a good showing this week would certainly not be a surprise to most people.

My final two punts this week are going to be on a couple of longer odds shots. Anthony Wall has long been regarded as one of the most talented ball strikers on the European Tour, came 6th last week and has posted a top 10 results in Dubai previously. With a slightly weaker field I feel that the 90/1 available on him underestimates his ball striking ability at a course that should suit. Jeev Milha Singh has not had the greatest time in the last fortnight, but has not missed a cut here in his last 6 outings and had a half decent performance in Durban. He's a really streaky player and can regularly chuck in a top-5 between missed cuts so I don't mind risking a small stake on him at the 125/1 available at Bet365.

My Betting Tips for the Week:


  • 1.5pt e/w Paul Casey at 29.0 (Various) or 26.0 (Stan James w/ 6 places e/w)
  • 1pt e/w Thongchai Jaidee at 31.0 (Bet365) or 26.0 (Stan James w/ 6 places e/w)
  • 1pt e/w Chris Wood at 34.0 (Stan James)
  • 1pt e/w Danny Willet at 51.0 (Ladbrokes) or or 41.0 (Stan James w/ 6 places e/w)
  • 0.5pt e/w Anthony Wall at 91.0 (Bet365)
  • 0.5pt e/w Jeev Milkha Singh at 126.0 (Bet365)
Where stated I have taken the 6 places at Stan James.







Sunday 27 January 2013

Qatar Review and My Lesson for the Week...

For somebody that has gotten themselves a name as a bit of a choker, Chris Wood played the final hole in a fashion that would be more expected by his (almost) namesake. After a shaky double bogey on the 3rd he rallied to hole some great putts throughout the round, and his gutsy eagle at the last pipped Sergio Garcia and George Coetzee by one shot.

What I've learned this week:

After a second losing week I have done a lot of research into the concept of value, and also put some further thought into my staking plan.

The very nature of golf betting means that there are going to be a number of losing weeks, but as we are generally betting at quite high odds, with huge fields, it has to be accepted that the probability of winning is lower. That means that to profit over the year we can only bet on players whose odds are greater than what we believe to be their probability of winning.

I've found that over the last few weeks I've been trying to pick players based purely on whether I think they will play well and generally not focussed on the odds. I'd fallen into the trap of thinking that value was just betting at high odds, when in fact I need to look for the odds to be over what I believe they should be.

If this is done consistently then in theory a profit should be made on the basis of simple maths e.g.:

If odds of winning were 1/52 (one win in the year), and we managed to have £1 on each week at 60/1 then over a large number of years we should expect to make an average of £8 per year. It would also mean backing only one winner from 52 per year- so it goes to show that it's not too bad to have a few losing weeks!

For some great explanations of this concept visit the OLBG Betting School, which goes into a bit more detail. They also have a great tipping comp- you get £1,000 a month of play money and there's loads in cash prizes for those who do the best- visit the tipping comp at http://www.olbg.com/?tx253777 to sign up.

I have also decided that it is very difficult to have a consistent staking plan each week while combining both my outright tips and spread betting ideas and therefore I am going to do these separately. It's just too hard to control the amount of bank that is being risked and with only two e/w picks last week I really didn't give myself chance to get the high return wins needed to be successful in golf betting.

This week I am going to look at the Dubai Desert Classic and try to come up with at least an idea of what I feel the betting will look like before any prices are released, and then if there are any outside my expectations jump right on them!

A winner!

Back in early January I posted a tip on Rylan Clark to win Celebrity Big Brother at 2.22- which as the weeks went on just kept coming in and was eventually available to trade off at 1.13 so I hope a few people followed me on that!

Monday 21 January 2013

Qatar Masters 2013 Betting Preview

The next stop in the Desert Swing brings us to the Qatar Masters- won last year by Paul Lawrie. The course this week is not a massively dissimilar challenge from last week. Winds are not forecast to be as strong as in previous years here- although the rough has been grown out a bit to compensate. At 7400+ yards, this puts a premium on driving once again this week.

Going to look to pull on prior course form and current form and hopefully make some money this week!

First on the list is one of last weeks picks, who has been steadily playing pretty well of late and won here in 2010, so obviously knows how to get round Doha. Thomas Bjorn is available at 55/1 and I think this is still a bit too high for somebody playing half decent golf and knows how to win. HE has been threatening to have a good tournament of late and hopefully it can be this week.

I am also going to have a pop this week on David Howell- he has had 5 top tens here in the past and after such a good showing last week, I think that 80/1 is a great opportunity and underestimates his chances- perhaps he has lost that winning edge- but 20/1 for a top 6 with Stan James is still pretty good.

As there seems like so many people that can win here I have decided to take a bit of a different approach for my next pick. A market that gave some success in my first week of putting my bets out there was the 72 hole match market on Sporting Index. In a huge risk of trying to tempt fate I am going to oppose a player I have backed for the last two weeks- but who really hasn't looked like getting back to his old self quite yet. Couple this with the fact that he has missed the cut 4 out of the 5 times he has played here and this being his 3rd straight week of tournament golf after a fairly serious injury Paul Casey certainly doesn't inspire me with confidence this week. To oppose him I am going with the ready made match against Henrik Stenson- a man who has done really well here in the past, is coming back to some form and can boom his driver. All of which should lead to him being ahead of Casey come Sunday.

Another Sporting Index market is finishing positions. Paying out on where a player has finished and therefore not needing that top 5 place for an each way bet to make money. This one is a bit of a risk- but Andrew Dodt would have made us a profit in his past 5 tournaments as well as in Doha last year. I am going to sell his finishing position at 52- meaning a pretty big 17 per pt loss if he misses the cut, but any performance in line with his form for this week should bring a profit.

This week's picks:


  • 1pt e/w Thomas Bjorn at 56.0 (Bet365) (Available at 41.0 for 6 places e/w at Stan James)
  • 1/2pt e/w David Howell at 81.0 (Stan James)
  • Sell Andrew Dodt for 1/2pt at 52 (Sporting Index)
  • Buy Henrik Stenson for 1pt at 2 (Sporting Index)

Good Luck!


My betting lesson for the week...

Last Week

In last week's Monday lesson I talked about players who are leading going into Sunday being odds on, and the potential trading opportunity it offers after Scott Jamieson gave up a 5 shot lead in Durban.

This weekend Justin Rose led by two going into Sunday and was priced at around 1.65. Two holes in and I managed to lay him at 1.53- which I think is pretty short odds for a two horse race such as a football game, let alone one man against probably 8 or more others in contention, and when one mistake can throw the whole lead away. After a few holes and with his lead firmly eroded I decided to be risk averse and trade out when he was available to be backed at 3.25- locking in a nice profit.

The same situation has occurred across the pond where Scott Stallings carried a 5 shot lead going into the final round of the ridiculously low scoring Humana Challenge. Once again he was available at an odds on price- 1.69 and went on to lose!

Even if all of these players went on to win there was always a chance to trade out for a profit... definitely a strategy I am going to be using in the future.

This week's lesson

I spent ages last week researching form, course experience etc etc last week in order to write my preview for Abu Dhabi and come up with some tips without copying the other more experienced tipsters out there. I then carefully made my picks and looked for the best price.

I then read some other blogs / tips sites and saw what people were thinking for the PGA Tour's Humana Challenge. Not really knowing much about the tournament- or the people playing I decided to pretty blindly follow a sort of aggregated version of these tips- all of which went on to lose by a pretty tasty margin.

Now I'm not for one minute saying the tips I read weren't good- but each player I backed was an individual part of different staking plans- one piece of the jigsaw. There may have been a long shot there, but this was probably backed up with a shorter priced player more likely to gain some sort of return to cover that long shot- which I would have obviously missed. Plus, not knowing about the tournament or the players means I cannot judge whether I really agree with the logic of that pick- we all have different reasons for backing players and inevitably people disagree now and again!

This week I will not be backing anybody unless I really understand the reasons they have been chosen and whether I agree with those reasons.

For a great explanation of a staking plan- and one that I am trying to learn to put in practice can be see at http://www.nics-value-picks.com/2013/01/ew-golf-staking-plan.html- this really shows what I'm trying to say above.

Hope this is a familiar situation for others out there, would be great to hear any views on this!



Sunday 20 January 2013

Abu Dhabi Review

With all the hype surrounding the new Nike brothers and the great expectations behind them there will be a few at the company feeling very disappointed that their exposure was cut down by two days after both players missed the cut. At least Rory got to put his feet up at the weekend and watch Caroline though....

Justin Rose led for the majority of the week but failed to show a killer instinct today to finish the job off- something that I feel has probably lacked throughout his career. Still, a great start to the campaign at a new course and clearly one to watch out for this season. I'm already fancying him a bit for the US Masters- could be a great shout for 1st round leader. 

Another player who reared their head today after a long time in the doldrums with back problems was David Howell. Judging by the sentiment on Twitter there wouldn't have been anybody who wasn't happy to see him win today regardless of who they'd backed. He's not your typical icon but I am still using a 31" putter that was inspired by the Howeller back in the day- I can see where that bad back must stem from now....

The tournament was finally won by Jamie Donaldson who tee'd it up at 60/1 and is a popular winner with those on tour. Well done to birdieclubtipster.blogspot.com for tipping him this week- great start to the season.

Bit of an annoying week for my picks. Jason Dufner bogeyed the last to miss an e/w payout by 1 shot and last week's pick Thorbjorn Olesen who was absolutely shocking in Durban contended to the 72nd hole. Not happy- but the beauty of golf is we only have to wait 3 days for another chance!

I am also expecting that this week I will have dropped down the ranks from 3rd overall in the Golf Bettings System punter's league 2013. There's a long way to go though and I'm sure one week can bring about a massive swing in the standings. Which also means it's still a great time to get involved if you haven't already!

Come back tomorrow for my Monday Lesson- what have I learned this week?!


Tuesday 15 January 2013

Abu Dhabi HSBC Golf Championship Tips

Well this looks like we have a very exciting week in store!

Just in case you've been living in a golfing news void over the last week, Rory McIlroy has been officially unveiled as a Nike athlete. This however, is not the really exciting news. I am of the age where I grew up watching the television adverts showing off Tiger's acting skills, and spent many an hour on the practice ground trying to replicate the famous 'golf ball juggling one' (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6oTMosZ76b8). Due to unforeseen circumstances in Mr Woods private life I was deprived of these 3 minute wonders for a number of years... but that is now over! Although I am now supposed to regard myself as an adult I cannot deny that it brought back the child in me when I was confronted with this... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2NCDYjHtEcU- long may they continue!

Onto the golf...

This week we head to the Abu Dhabi Golf Club and a number of the world's top players are going to be there. The course was revamped for last year's tournament putting more of a premium onto play off the tee- and Alex Noren has been saying on Twitter that the course is set up like a US Open- 'Firm greens and fat rough'. With the course being over 7400 yards and such a premium on playing from the fairway we need a great driver to be successful here and of course as always- someone who will hole their putts.

The top of the betting is dominated by McIlroy, Woods and Kaymer- all of whom I feel are a bit too short to get any real value from. McIlroy has just switched to new clubs, and Kaymer struggled last year which suggests it may be worth leaving them alone.

A player along similar lines to Martin Kaymer is Paul Casey- he has won this tournament twice and feels it 'just one of those places where things seem to come together'. Although he didn't come through for us last week- we can consider that a warm up for the year and hopefully the same logic as last week applies but this time on a course he loves. With the top players on show here perhaps it will take the pressure off a bit too.

Next on the list is Jason Dufner. With the course set up for somebody with a great long game-particularly driving I feel that the 25/1 on offer is great value for a player that showed last year he is capable of playing against the world's best. With a great showing at the US Open last year we can feel comfortable that he is suited to the course set up this week. Although he didn't have a great showing in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions, that can be put down to the weather and he did have some decent form at the end of 2012.

Finally a couple of bigger prices...

With a 3rd place on the new layout last year and in a rich vein of form Thomas Bjorn looks a great price at 45/1. He's got enough experience not to be fazed by the media circus that will be following the World's top two and with Paddy Power offering 6 places 11/1 on a top 6 seems pretty good.

Another player I have not seen tipped this week is Scott Jamieson. Although he missed the cut last year this guy is in the form of his life and I think that even though he threw a huge lead away last week 66/1 is absolutely massive. Let's just hope he's not mentally knackered!

My Betting Tips this week:


  • 1pt e/w Paul Casey at 28.0
  • 1pt e/w Jason Dufner at 26.0
  • 1pt e/w Thomas Bjorn at 46.0
  • 1pt e/w Scott Jamieson at 67.0
All at Paddy Power as they are offering 6 places each way!






Monday 14 January 2013

Last Week and Monday's Lesson for Lewis...

Always a danger man at the start of the week but offering no real value, Louis Oosthuizen overcame a five shot deficit to triumph in the Volvo Golf Champions in Durban.

Commiserations have to go to Scott Jamieson who was on the receiving end of of this overhaul but with a win under his belt already this season and clearly playing well I am sure he will put himself in a position to win again.

Padraig Harrington managed to get into the each way places with a birdie on the 72nd hole which means a 1.25pt profit for the week!

On the note of the final round this week, one of my New Year's resolutions reared its head, and along with that a lesson...

Looking around twitter I saw the statistic that before this tournament 22 players had gone into the final round with a five shot lead and of these 22 players only two had ever not gone on to win the tournament. I then saw that Scott Jamieson was trading at 1.5 on Betfair- great value surely?! Some might even say a dead cert... (http://lewispuntingyear.blogspot.co.uk/2013/01/the-year-ahead.html - see point 1!)

Luckily my Moneybookers account was not playing ball and I didn't manage to get the money on- and we all know what happened next. Thinking about it though, how often does the final round leader pull away from the field and increase their lead in these situations? The combination of nerves, playing more safely to conserve the lead and those behind playing more aggressively than they normally might means that it's more than likely that at some point the supposedly huge lead won't be so big after all.

When a player is trading at odds-on, rather than looking to back the supposed dead cert I am going to look to lay them with a view to trading. Even in the case that they go on to win the tournament that lead will at some point look threatened, the price will go up and there is our chance to profit! Or they could completely melt down and we just let it run! For a great guide to Betfair trading see http://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/Golf_Trading.htm.

Over the rest of the year I will look at incorporating some in-play trading into the mix so add me on Twitter (@LewisBryan80) to see how I get on, and let me know what you think of this... have you been burned in the past backing a short priced leader? Or even laid them only to watch the pull clear hole after hole?!

Come back tomorrow for my Abu Dhabi HSBC Golf Championship tips!




Tuesday 8 January 2013

Volvo Golf Champions 2013

Last Week

Well that was certainly an interesting one! After two restarts due to ferocious winds in Hawaii the Hyundai Tournament of Champions has finally been played. After being shortened to 54 holes Dustin Johnson came out on top which means of his now 7 seven wins on the PGA Tour, this is the 3rd coming by way of a weather shortened event.

Ian Poulter came a respectable T9 after his self-defamation on Twitter and it reinforces my new year's resolution that there is no such thing as a certainty in the betting world after feeling sure that he would be in for a bad week. At no point however did it look like my spread bet was in danger of being a loser and Dustin was always one step ahead.

The spread market for the 72 hole matchbet closed at -11 shots and therefore this gave a tidy profit of 10.25pts meaning all in all it was a good first week for the new blog!


Volvo Golf Champions

Into a new week and we have the European Tour's equivalent of the Tournament of Champions- The Volvo Golf Champions 2013. A field limited to 33 players is headed to Durban Country Club in South Africa which played host to the South African Open most recently in 2010- won by Ernie Els who also won here in 1998.

Due to the fact that there is not a great deal of previous form available for the course and we are coming off a break I feel that the key points to look for will be suitability for the course and also those players who are going to have the most motivation to get their season off to a great start.

The course is not the longest at 6,700 yards and is quoted on their website as being 'a shot makers course that you have to think your way round.' There are some great risk reward opportunities here and none more so than the par-4 18th offering one of the 3 hole-in-one prizes!

My first pick is going to be Paul Casey, who is coming off a torrid year due to injury while his former peers- Luke Donald et al.- have shot to the very peak of the game. When fit Casey was a world class player and has won at courses such as Wentworth which require the shot making and golfing brain it appears will be needed at Durban. With three top 10's in his last four starts at the end of last year as well as some low rounds, he has started to show his quality again and with a Christmas break that I am sure was spent chomping at the bit to go into 2013 fit, he is going to be more motivated than ever to get off to a great start. With odds of 26.0 on offer I feel this is great value.

My next pick is Thorbjorn Olesen who has improved greatly each year he has been on tour and managed to get his first win last year. This player was fancied a lot last season and many people feel that he has the potential to be a great player and is due to start winning. Having just signed with Nike he is going to want to shine, so couple this motivation for a name-making season and obvious talent I feel he is worth our investment.

My final pick has not been in the greatest form of late, but is the definition of a thinking man's player and is one of the world's best. Padraig Harrington knows how to turn it on when in great company and with 3 majors to his name and a top-10 in his last outing in Dubai he is certainly more than capable of a win. Available at 29.0 it is hard to pass up a player of this calibre, especially when returning to the course at which he made his professional debut 17 years ago, bringing fond memories for the Irishman.

The Week's Punts


  • 1pt e/w Paul Casey at 26.0 (Coral, 888, BlueSq)
  • 1pt e/w Thorbjorn Olesen at 23.0 (Various)
  • 1pt e/w Padraig Harrington at 29.0 (Coral, Sportingbet)

Sidetrack!

With the start of Celebrity Big Brother comes a great opportunity to make a bit of profit from the ever predictable British public. Rylan Clark is riding the wave of recent X Factor success as well as coming across as a very typical winning personality and unlikely to be nominated in these early stages. Therefore I can only see that price getting shorter and this offers up a great trading opportunity on Betfair. Once that price has come in it can be safely traded off for a green book or free ride.

  • 3pts Rylan Clark to win Celebrity Big Brother at 2.22 (Betfair)


Thursday 3 January 2013

Hyundai Tournament of Champions

First event of the year and it's the Hyundai Tournament of Champions, this week is a small field, all of whom are winners on the PGA Tour in 2012. Being the week after Christmas and New Year and a relatively small prize fund- just the $5.7m- the biggest names have decided not to waste their time turning up this week. Who could blame them- that paltry amount of money and the opportunity for 4 rounds in Hawaii- it's alright for some I suppose...

Having read through many a tipster website, blogs, newspapers and other media it seems that just about everyone in the field has been tipped up or fancied by somebody. The top end of the betting all seem to be there for a reason and those at the higher end of the odds are all apparently 'excellent value'.

For that reason I can't see there being a great amount of value to be taken this week and to be honest this tournament is wide open with every player in the field clearly capable of a win. I think we therefore need to look elsewhere for a decent chance of making some money.

Although it seems every player has been tipped for the win, there seems to be one who doesn't even fancy their own chances. More than a few tweets from a certain Mr Poulter have indicated a very heavy Christmas and flights booked on lastminute.com with RyanAir. Couple this with the fact that he's a matchplay specialist (a bloody good one at that) and is here on that merit I can see this being more of a holiday for Poults than work. This could have been an opportunity to lay the top-10 finish but there is very little in the way of price or liquidity on that front and therefore I'm feeling a spread bet coming on...

Sporting Index offer a 72 hole matchmaker market so we just need to find somebody we think will beat Ian by a few shots. Kapalua is long and wide with huge greens and there should be a fair bit of wind. It also favours players that have played here a few times. Following the twitter theme for Poulter's demise has lead me to Dustin Johnson who has been teeing it up at 7am at the plantation for the last week and seems to be in very good spirits for the tournament (along with his new red driver which he is perfectly capable of hitting 400 yards on some holes here!). His previous perfomances here have been 9th, 16th and 11th (thanks to www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk for that info) and therefore he knows how to play the course and we can hopefully be sure that even if he doesn't win he is not going to go huge and lose me lots of money.

As there isn't much to go on in terms of decent bets here I have decided to add a year long ante post effort to this week's post.

The demise of my lifelong hero over the past few years has left a void in the world of golf, which has been crying out for a new superstar. I really feel that 2013 could be the making of a new power in the sport and now that he has his $250 million (allegedly) deal under his belt he is ready to put that amazing marketing power (and swing) to use...

The week's punts:

  • Sell Ian Poulter v Dustin Johnson for 1pt at -0.75 (Sporting Index)
  • 3 pt Rory McIlroy to win exactly 2 majors at 11 (SkyBet)
  • 1 pt Rory McIlroy to win exactly 3 majors at 41 (SkyBet)
  • 1/2 pt Rory McIlroy to win exactly 4 majors at 101 (SkyBet)







The Year Ahead

After a year on the betting wagon- with many losers and a few good winners- it is time to take it to the next level and see how we do in 2013.

The year of 2012 involved many a mistake and I think there are some new years resolutions which need to be set down based on what I've learned:
  1. There is no such thing as a dead cert- a lesson learned when putting my entire bankroll on the Frankel / Black Caviar double. Do not want to experience that feeling again in 2013.
  2. Being bored on a Saturday morning is not an excuse for £35 worth of BTTS five-folds and Fernando Torres to score first bets 'just to make Gillette Soccer Saturday interesting.'
  3. As much as I may think I am a horse racing mogul, I in fact know very little from a betting point of view and blindly following tips and pretending they are my choices in order 'to seem like a real punter' is not going to help the bankroll. 
  4. I know lots about golf, I think that I may have made a profit on golf, stick to what you know. (Golf!)
  5. In point 4 I say 'I think' I may have made a profit on golf. I didn't keep any record of bets and therefore realistically I don't actually have a clue how I did. A less exciting point but 2013 will involve spreadsheets.
  6. Funds should be removed from bookmaker accounts as soon as a bet is settled and just because it's 'only £8' does not mean that virtual greyhounds is the sensible investment choice. 
  7. It does not help when funds are being used for both betting and the food shop in Tesco. A separate betting bank in Moneybookers will be used.
  8. Public votes are a goldmine. X Factor / Britain's got talent / Big Brother all seem to be very easy to predict.
The plan for 2013

The primary focus for the year (and this blog) is going to be golf, with a few sidetracks here and there if anything else takes my fancy. (Per above- NOT Fernando Torres first goalscorer bets).

I haven't got a set staking plan at the moment and to be honest it's going to be a case of using common sense (ha ha) and seeing what works over the course of the year. I will also look to mix it up a bit with regards to approach and market types. Winner, Each-way, Match betting, Spread bets, Top 10, Back, Lay- you name it I will probably try it at some point and hopefully I won't be making myself look to stupid (or skint).

One site that has been of great use to me in the past year is Golf Betting System and I will also be taking part in their Punters League 2013 (http://www.golfbettingsystem.co.uk/punters_league.htm), so hopefully (very much the key word) may even get a few freebies courtesy of that. They're even offering £50 to the most creative Blog entry regarding the competition, although I'm not sure if the T&Cs state that the said Blog has to actually be read by anyone?

So, here's to 2013- Happy new year and Happy Punting!